AGI Dreams - AI News Digest
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Latest: Claude Opus 46 Safety and Capabilities Assessment
Anthropic has published a detailed sabotage risk report for Claude Opus 4.6, and the bottom line is carefully hedged: the model poses "very low but not negligible" risk of autonomous actions that could contribute to catastrophic outcomes. The report—committed to in the Opus 4.6 system card as part of Anthropic's AI R&D-4 Responsible Scaling Policy standard—focuses specifically on what it calls "sabotage risk": the possibility that a model heavily used by powerful organizations could exploit its access to manipulate decision-making, insert cybersecurity vulnerabilities, or take actions that raise the probability of future catastrophic AI failures. Some portions are redacted for misuse-risk or commercial sensitivity, though unredacted versions go to Anthropic's internal Stress-Testing Team and select external reviewers. (more: https://www-cdn.anthropic.com/f21d93f21602ead5cdbecb8c8e1c765759d9e232.pdf)
The threat model hinges on a sliding scale of autonomy. If models are incapable of complex tasks and humans review their work carefully, the risk of meaningful impact is "very unlikely." But if models routinely carry out significant technical workflows with minimal human oversight—analogous to a senior technical employee—the impact becomes "highly plausible." Opus 4.6 sits somewhere in between: the report describes it as "highly capable, though not fully reliable" at tasks requiring hours for human specialists, and reliable only at a narrower set of generally simpler tasks. The core worry is "dangerous coherent misaligned goals"—the possibility that the model consistently pursues objectives across a wide range of interactions that could lead to catastrophic outcomes. Anthropic prioritizes this threat partly for its potential magnitude and partly to build early institutional experience with safety evaluation methods they will need as models grow more capable.
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